Connahs Quay 1-2 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-11.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.44/2.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.61
-40% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +34%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
1W-0D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.04.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
21.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
08.03.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-5 HT 0-4 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
31.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-4 HT 0-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
11.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-2 HT 3-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
05.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
1-2
AWAY The New Saints
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints squeezed past Connahs Quay 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 32% of the ball to The New Saints's 68%, shots finished 6-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 3.33 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?

Connahs Quay 1-2 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 16%, draw 23%, The New Saints 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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