Connahs Quay vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-3
The New Saints
GAL
Connahs Quay 1-2 The New Saints — Actual Match Statistics
The New Saints edged past Connahs Quay 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 50% of the ball to The New Saints's 50%, shots finished 13-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 2.67 for The New Saints.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?
Connahs Quay 1-2 The New Saints in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?
Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 22%, draw 27%, The New Saints 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.