The New Saints 2-1 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 31 Dec 2024

📅31/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.89
2-3 Goals
41%
2.14
4-5 Goals
25%
2.34
6+ Goals
15%
4.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-8.5pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.4pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.40/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.13
+43% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Connahs Quay
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
28.04.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 2-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
21.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
08.03.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-5 HT 0-4 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
31.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-4 HT 0-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
11.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-2 HT 3-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
2-1
AWAY Connahs Quay
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, The New Saints had 58% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for The New Saints and 1.00 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Connahs Quay?

The New Saints 2-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 31/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 67%, draw 19%, Connahs Quay 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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