Bala Town 0-0 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 31 Dec 2024

Bala Town
0-0
Caernarfon Town
📅31/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bala Town v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.51/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.50
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6

Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
21.04.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
08.03.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
28.11.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
29.08.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
30.12.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town and Caernarfon Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bala Town and 0.83 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?

Bala Town 0-0 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 31/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 52%, draw 27%, Caernarfon Town 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bala Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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