Penybont vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Cardiff MU Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
2-3
HT 1-0
Penybont
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
Penybont 2-2 Cardiff MU — Actual Match Statistics
Penybont and Cardiff MU shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Penybont carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Penybont had 50% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 50%, shots finished 10-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Penybont and 0.83 for Cardiff MU.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
Penybont 2-2 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 31/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Cardiff MU?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Penybont 55%, draw 24%, Cardiff MU 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.