Cardiff MU vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Penybont — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
2-3
HT 1-0
Penybont
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
1-3
HT 0-1
Cardiff MU
GAL
Cardiff MU 1-1 Penybont — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff MU and Penybont shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cardiff MU had 46% of the ball to Penybont's 54%, shots finished 17-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.50 for Penybont.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Penybont?
Cardiff MU 1-1 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Penybont?
Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 23%, draw 29%, Penybont 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penybont) went the other way.