Newtown 2-4 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.49/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.29
+6% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Barry Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
26.08.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
06.01.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
16.09.2023 Newtown Newtown 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.12.2021 Newtown Newtown 2-1 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
02.10.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
21.11.2020 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town beat Newtown 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Newtown at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newtown and 1.00 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Barry Town?

Newtown 2-4 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newtown 41%, draw 26%, Barry Town 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newtown) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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