Caernarfon Town 0-0 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Aug 2024

Caernarfon Town
0-0 HT 0-0
Bala Town
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.81
2-3 Goals
34%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caernarfon Town v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.54/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.09
+43% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
387 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
08.03.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
28.11.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
29.08.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
30.12.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
26.12.2022 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-5 HT 1-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town and Bala Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 2.17 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town?

Caernarfon Town 0-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 25%, draw 30%, Bala Town 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bala Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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