Flint Town United 0-1 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.83
6+ Goals
16%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 69%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -23%
0.61/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.93
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -14%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Connahs Quay
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-3 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
31.12.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
11.02.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 1-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
25.01.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
15.10.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Flint Town United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Flint Town United and 1.67 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Connahs Quay?

Flint Town United 0-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 19%, draw 25%, Connahs Quay 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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