Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
1-2
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
0-3
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
3-1
HT 2-1
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
Penybont cruised past Aberystwyth Town 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Penybont and 0.83 for Aberystwyth Town.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town?
Penybont 5-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Penybont 51%, draw 29%, Aberystwyth Town 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.