Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
1-2
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
0-3
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
3-1
HT 2-1
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
4-0
HT 3-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
0-3
HT 0-2
Penybont
GAL
Penybont 1-1 Aberystwyth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Penybont and Aberystwyth Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Penybont had 60% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 40%, shots finished 12-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Penybont and 0.67 for Aberystwyth Town.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town?
Penybont 1-1 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Aberystwyth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Penybont 53%, draw 23%, Aberystwyth Town 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penybont), BTTS No went the other way.