Caernarfon Town 1-8 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
69%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.96
2-3 Goals
37%
2.31
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
14%
4.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
31%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
6%
+7.6pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.1pp
69%
Away Win
82%
-12.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 85%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.44/2.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.51
-38% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +39%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 498 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
26.12.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 0-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
26.09.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-3 HT 1-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
03.01.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
11.11.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GALWK
25.10.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
23.04.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 2-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caernarfon Town
1-8
AWAY The New Saints
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Caernarfon Town 8-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Caernarfon Town had 37% of the ball to The New Saints's 63%, shots finished 5-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Caernarfon Town and 2.33 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?

Caernarfon Town 1-8 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 14%, draw 17%, The New Saints 69%. The final score 1-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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