Barry Town 1-1 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.7pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -3%
0.92/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.55
-39% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
26.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
29.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
15.04.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
05.03.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.11.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
31.08.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
1-1
AWAY Haverfordwest County
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town and Haverfordwest County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Barry Town had 54% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 46%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barry Town and 1.67 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Barry Town 1-1 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 38%, draw 21%, Haverfordwest County 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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