Cardiff MU 1-1 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.56
Over 2.5
28%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.31
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
13%
4.8
6+ Goals
5%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.31 — our 37% vs market 35.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.8pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-10.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
60%
+11.3pp
28%
Over 2.5
40%
-11.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 46%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.20/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.78
+14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
27.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.08.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GALWK
28.11.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.09.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
1-1
AWAY Haverfordwest County
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU and Haverfordwest County shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 55% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 45%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cardiff MU and 0.83 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County?

Cardiff MU 1-1 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 34%, draw 34%, Haverfordwest County 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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