The New Saints 2-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.59
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.9pp
17%
Draw
14%
+3.0pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.41/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.36
+28% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 0-2 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
04.12.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 1-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
13.11.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALLK
24.09.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-3 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
09.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-1 HT 3-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
09.02.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
2-1
AWAY Bala Town
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints edged past Bala Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, The New Saints had 64% of the ball to Bala Town's 36%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for The New Saints and 1.00 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Bala Town?

The New Saints 2-1 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 68%, draw 17%, Bala Town 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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