The New Saints 3-1 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 13 Nov 2024

📅13/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 17%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bala Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-3 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
09.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-1 HT 3-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
09.02.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
28.10.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
13.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
30.04.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-0 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
3-1
AWAY Bala Town
73% Ball Possession 27%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints saw off Bala Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, The New Saints had 73% of the ball to Bala Town's 27%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for The New Saints and 0.67 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Bala Town?

The New Saints 3-1 Bala Town in the Wales - League Cup on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 53%, draw 23%, Bala Town 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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