The New Saints vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
The New Saints v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals
The New Saints vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Bala Town
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
The New Saints
GAL
6-0
HT 1-0
Bala Town
GALWK
0-2
HT 0-0
The New Saints
GAL
The New Saints 2-3 Bala Town — Actual Match Statistics
Bala Town nicked a narrow win over The New Saints 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had The New Saints at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, The New Saints had 71% of the ball to Bala Town's 29%, shots finished 14-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for The New Saints and 0.17 for Bala Town.
What was the final score of The New Saints vs Bala Town?
The New Saints 2-3 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Bala Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 65%, draw 18%, Bala Town 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No went the other way.