Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.9pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 69%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.96/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.44/1.00
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -17%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cardiff MU
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
02.12.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 4-2 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
12.08.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
01.10.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
20.09.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-2 HT 1-2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GALLK
20.08.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-4 HT 0-3 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
09.04.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU edged past Aberystwyth Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff MU as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 2.33 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU?

Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 15%, draw 30%, Cardiff MU 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff MU), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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