Connahs Quay 1-1 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

Connahs Quay
1-1 HT 1-1
Newtown
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Connahs Quay vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 32% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.1pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Connahs Quay v Newtown — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.44/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.41
-9% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Connahs Quay vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Newtown
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
10.02.2024 Newtown Newtown 2-3 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.12.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-2 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
29.08.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-1 HT 1-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
24.03.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
11.02.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay and Newtown couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.83 for Newtown.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Newtown?

Connahs Quay 1-1 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 47%, draw 28%, Newtown 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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