Penybont 0-1 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.13
2-3 Goals
37%
2.2
4-5 Goals
34%
2.45
6+ Goals
12%
4.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.0pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.6pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.50/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.00
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +45%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
504 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Briton Ferry
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 0-2 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penybont
0-1
AWAY Briton Ferry
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry squeezed past Penybont 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Penybont carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Penybont had 63% of the ball to Briton Ferry's 37%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

Penybont 0-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Penybont 69%, draw 17%, Briton Ferry 13%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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