Haverfordwest County 1-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.97
6+ Goals
7%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
1.57/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.59
+0% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Barry Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
23.02.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
26.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
29.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
15.04.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
05.03.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County and Barry Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Haverfordwest County at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.67 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town?

Haverfordwest County 1-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 48%, draw 21%, Barry Town 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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