Haverfordwest County 2-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
2.06/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.95
+26% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Barry Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
26.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
29.08.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
15.04.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
05.03.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
09.11.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County edged past Barry Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.67 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town?

Haverfordwest County 2-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 51%, draw 25%, Barry Town 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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