The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
The New Saints v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
1-3
HT 1-0
The New Saints
GAL
0-1
HT 0-0
The New Saints
GAL
2-1
HT 1-0
Caernarfon Town
GALWK
3-0
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
The New Saints 7-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Caernarfon Town 7-1. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, The New Saints had 71% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 29%, shots finished 29-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for The New Saints and 0.67 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints 7-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 72%, draw 15%, Caernarfon Town 13%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.