Bala Town 1-0 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.8pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-14.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.14/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.93/0.69
-83% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +25%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY The New Saints
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.11.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALLK
24.09.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-3 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
09.04.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 4-1 HT 3-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
09.02.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
28.10.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
13.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town squeezed past The New Saints 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had The New Saints at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bala Town and 2.00 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs The New Saints?

Bala Town 1-0 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 18%, draw 27%, The New Saints 55%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (The New Saints) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
4 Dec 2024
22:45 Flint Town United vs Aberystwyth Town Analysis →