Tusker 1-0 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 5 Dec 2025

Tusker
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Ulinzi Stars
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.32
Draw
35%
2.76
Away
28%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
2%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Tusker v Ulinzi Stars — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tusker The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Ulinzi Stars The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
0.83 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 1

Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-1 HT 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
23.10.2024 Tusker Tusker 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
16.02.2022 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN2
12.02.2022 Tusker Tusker 2-0 HT 0-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2

Tusker 1-0 Ulinzi Stars — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
1 - 0
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tusker squeezed past Ulinzi Stars 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and on the day Tusker made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) landed.

On the day, possession split 52% to 48% in Tusker's favour, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tusker had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Tusker against 0.25 for Ulinzi Stars.

Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars Result & Final Score

Tusker 1 - 0 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tusker 37%, draw 35%, Ulinzi Stars 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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