Guiseley 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 23%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.45/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.78
-31% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
22.08.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 HT 3-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
11.11.2014 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İCON
25.08.2014 Guiseley Guiseley 1-3 HT 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
0-1
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity squeezed past Guiseley 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guiseley had 56% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 44%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guiseley and 1.83 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Guiseley 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 49%, draw 21%, Gainsborough Trinity 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
6 Jan 2024
18:00 Radcliffe Borough vs Workington Analysis →
18:00 Beaconsfield SYCOB vs Swindon Supermarine Analysis →
18:00 Didcot Town vs Chesham United Analysis →
18:00 Bromsgrove Sporting vs Long Eaton United Analysis →
18:00 Needham Market vs Kettering Town Analysis →
18:00 Salisbury vs Tiverton Town Analysis →