Ilkeston Town 2-0 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No Pick
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.2pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 43%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.25/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.56
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY United of Manchester
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 1-0 HT 1-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town got the better of United of Manchester 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Ilkeston Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

Ilkeston Town 2-0 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 39%, draw 22%, United of Manchester 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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