Mickleover Sports 0-1 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.69/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.95
+0% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mickleover Sports
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Telford United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-2 HT 0-1 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Mickleover Sports vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United squeezed past Mickleover Sports 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mickleover Sports at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Mickleover Sports vs AFC Telford United?

Mickleover Sports 0-1 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mickleover Sports vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mickleover Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mickleover Sports 46%, draw 28%, AFC Telford United 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mickleover Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mickleover Sports) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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