Morpeth Town 2-1 Bradford Park Avenue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
55%
-14.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford Park Avenue EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.01/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.68
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bradford Park Avenue
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2023 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue 2-0 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Bradford Park Avenue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town nicked a narrow win over Bradford Park Avenue 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Morpeth Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Bradford Park Avenue?

Morpeth Town 2-1 Bradford Park Avenue in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Bradford Park Avenue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 40%, draw 27%, Bradford Park Avenue 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morpeth Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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