Royston Town 2-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royston Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.40/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royston Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 0-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Royston Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royston Town squeezed past AFC Sudbury 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Royston Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Royston Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Royston Town 2-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royston Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Royston Town 43%, draw 22%, AFC Sudbury 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royston Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royston Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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