Wolverhampton 0-3 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.95
Over
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.45
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.26
6+
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.57
1/2
9%
24.7
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
16%
7.72
X/2
15%
4.59
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.67
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest The Market 51%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
449 Passes 247
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
13.04.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
09.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
01.04.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
11.01.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
15.10.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
0-3
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.59 xG 2.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
466 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest swept aside Wolverhampton 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 61% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 39%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.59 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.00 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest?

Wolverhampton 0-3 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 33%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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