Nottingham Forest 2-2 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Nottingham Forest
2-2 HT 1-1
Wolverhampton
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.85
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
4.64
X/2
8%
7.06
X/X
15%
4.55
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
5.15
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.58/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.38
+30% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.0 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.58
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
203 Passes 508
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
01.04.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
11.01.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
15.10.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
24.08.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-4 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
20.01.2018 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
2-2
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.92 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
361 Passes 453
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Wolverhampton shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 46% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 54%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.92 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.33 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton?

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 39%, draw 28%, Wolverhampton 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ BTTS Yes
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