Newcastle United 4-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Newcastle United
4-0 HT 2-0
Tottenham
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.16
2-3 Goals
35%
2.2
4-5 Goals
30%
2.45
6+ Goals
17%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.39
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
14%
6.31
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
12%
6.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
12%
3.19
2/X
9%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.6pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.66/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.56
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
19.3 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tottenham
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.95 xG 2.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 442
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 4-1 HT 2-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
23.04.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 6-1 HT 5-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.10.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
03.04.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 5-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
17.10.2021 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-3 HT 1-3 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
04.04.2021 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 1-2 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Newcastle United 4-0 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
4-0
AWAY Tottenham
2.88 xG 0.77
27% Ball Possession 73%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 3
123 Passes 498
65% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 27
28 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United ran out comfortable winners over Tottenham 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Newcastle United had 27% of the ball to Tottenham's 73%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.88 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newcastle United and 2.67 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Tottenham?

Newcastle United 4-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 42%, draw 28%, Tottenham 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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