Nottingham Forest 1-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

Nottingham Forest
1-1 HT 1-1
Wolverhampton
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1
10%
4.49
X/2
9%
7.41
X/X
16%
4.87
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
14%
5.37
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.77/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
+25% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.6 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.71
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
226 Passes 508
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
09.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
01.04.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
11.01.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
15.10.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
24.08.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-4 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.04 xG 0.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
293 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Wolverhampton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 52% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 48%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.04 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.67 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton?

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 44%, draw 27%, Wolverhampton 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ BTTS No
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