Brentford vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brentford v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Brentford vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Brentford
İNP
3-0
HT 2-0
Southampton
İNP
3-0
HT 2-0
Southampton
İNP
4-1
HT 2-1
Brentford
İNP
0-2
HT 0-2
Brentford
İNLK
2-2
HT 1-0
Southampton
HAZ
Brentford 3-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford beat Southampton 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Brentford had 37% of the ball to Southampton's 63%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 2.78 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brentford and 1.00 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Brentford vs Southampton?
Brentford 3-1 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brentford vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brentford 45%, draw 25%, Southampton 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.