Everton 2-3 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.18
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
13%
6.21
X/2
8%
5.24
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
21%
3.28
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.27/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.08
-35% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
20.7 Crosses 22.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
388 Passes 298
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
07.10.2023 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
28.05.2023 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
12.11.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
08.11.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNLK
26.07.2020 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 1-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
2-3
AWAY Bournemouth
1.99 xG 2.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
257 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth edged past Everton 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Bournemouth made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Everton had 47% of the ball to Bournemouth's 53%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.99 to 2.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 2.00 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Everton vs Bournemouth?

Everton 2-3 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Everton 38%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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