Ipswich Town 1-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

Ipswich Town
1-1 HT 1-1
Fulham
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ipswich Town vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.25
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.14
X/2
13%
5.12
X/X
16%
4.54
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
21%
3.29
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.5pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.72/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.69
+26% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
– Crosses 22.6
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Ipswich Town vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fulham
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.43 xG 2.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
229 Passes 510
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNLK
16.09.2020 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNLK
02.01.2018 Fulham Fulham 4-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
26.08.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL
08.04.2017 Fulham Fulham 3-1 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
26.12.2016 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL

Ipswich Town 1-1 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-1
AWAY Fulham
0.45 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
345 Passes 359
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town and Fulham shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Fulham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 49% of the ball to Fulham's 51%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.45 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ipswich Town and 2.50 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Fulham?

Ipswich Town 1-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 30%, draw 29%, Fulham 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fulham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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