West Ham United 1-3 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.43
Over 2.5
64%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.72
6+ Goals
15%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.65
1/2
8%
20.0
1/X
7%
17.85
X/1
9%
13.45
X/2
17%
3.76
X/X
8%
7.18
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.73
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
15%
+12.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-15.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 70%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
0.85/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.06
+21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 85%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.4
15.7 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Manchester City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.58 xG 2.46
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
228 Passes 684
78% Pass Accuracy 92%
10 Box Touches 44
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 3-1 HT 2-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
16.09.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-3 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
03.05.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
07.08.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
15.05.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 2-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
28.11.2021 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
1-3
AWAY Manchester City
0.73 xG 3.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
284 Passes 670
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
24 Box Touches 58
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City saw off West Ham United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, West Ham United had 32% of the ball to Manchester City's 68%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.73 to 3.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for West Ham United and 2.50 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Manchester City?

West Ham United 1-3 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 27%, draw 22%, Manchester City 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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