Manchester City 3-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
4.67
Over 2.5
66%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
12.3
2-3 Goals
33%
2.81
4-5 Goals
31%
2.29
6+ Goals
19%
2.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.13
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
21%
3.81
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
7%
18.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
4%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-16.0pp
18%
Draw
9%
+8.7pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
18%
+15.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
82%
-15.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.40/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.28
+33% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
521 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
45.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.6 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY West Ham United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.42 xG 0.62
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
661 Passes 234
92% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-3 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
03.05.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
07.08.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
15.05.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 2-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
28.11.2021 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
27.10.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
3-1
AWAY West Ham United
2.04 xG 0.36
71% Ball Possession 29%
28 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
730 Passes 246
93% Pass Accuracy 80%
54 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City saw off West Ham United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Manchester City had 71% of the ball to West Ham United's 29%, shots finished 28-3, expected goals 2.04 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester City and 0.67 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs West Ham United?

Manchester City 3-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 69%, draw 18%, West Ham United 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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