Crystal Palace 5-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 May 2024

Crystal Palace
5-0 HT 2-0
Aston Villa
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.7
2-3 Goals
42%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
9%
4.19
X/2
8%
10.3
X/X
11%
6.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.35
2/2
12%
6.77
2/X
6%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crystal Palace v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.65/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.75
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
23.4 Crosses 14.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
343 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
04.03.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
20.08.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
15.05.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
27.11.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
16.05.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-2 HT 1-2 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP

Crystal Palace 5-0 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
5-0
AWAY Aston Villa
2.54 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
495 Passes 401
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace swept aside Aston Villa 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crystal Palace as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 54% of the ball to Aston Villa's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.54 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.67 for Aston Villa.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?

Crystal Palace 5-0 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 49%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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