Brentford 2-4 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 May 2024

Brentford
2-4 HT 0-3
Newcastle United
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Brentford vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.35
No
47%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.98
2-3 Goals
40%
2.19
4-5 Goals
24%
2.46
6+ Goals
11%
4.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.2pp
47%
BTTS No
30%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brentford v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.44/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.56
-25% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
18.1 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Brentford vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Newcastle United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.21 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
239 Passes 334
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
08.04.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
08.10.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 5-1 HT 2-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
26.02.2022 Brentford Brentford 0-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
20.11.2021 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-3 HT 2-2 Brentford Brentford İNP
22.12.2020 Brentford Brentford 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNLK

Brentford 2-4 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
2-4
AWAY Newcastle United
1.13 xG 3.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 0
395 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United got the better of Brentford 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Newcastle United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Brentford had 54% of the ball to Newcastle United's 46%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.13 to 3.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brentford and 2.17 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Newcastle United?

Brentford 2-4 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brentford 38%, draw 24%, Newcastle United 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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