Luton Town 2-4 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luton Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 48%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.05/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.55
-28% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
29.2 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luton Town
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Fulham
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.97 xG 2.19
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
186 Passes 547
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Fulham Fulham 1-0 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İNP
02.05.2022 Fulham Fulham 7-0 HT 2-0 Luton Town Luton Town İNCL
11.12.2021 Luton Town Luton Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL
26.12.2019 Luton Town Luton Town 3-3 HT 2-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL
23.10.2019 Fulham Fulham 3-2 HT 1-0 Luton Town Luton Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luton Town
2-4
AWAY Fulham
2.10 xG 1.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Luton Town vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham saw off Luton Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fulham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Luton Town had 40% of the ball to Fulham's 60%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.10 to 1.09 — on chances, Luton Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Luton Town and 3.00 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Luton Town vs Fulham?

Luton Town 2-4 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luton Town vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luton Town 34%, draw 26%, Fulham 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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