Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
1-3
HT 1-1
Chelsea
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Bournemouth
İNP
2-2
HT 0-1
Chelsea
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Bournemouth
İNP
4-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea nicked a narrow win over Bournemouth 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Chelsea had 61% of the ball to Bournemouth's 39%, shots finished 16-22, expected goals 1.14 to 2.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bournemouth.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chelsea and 1.33 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 61%, draw 20%, Bournemouth 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.