Birkirkara 5-2 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.68
Over 2.5
31%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.9pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.4pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.08.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
02.03.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
29.10.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
15.02.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTAK
10.12.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-1 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
19.01.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-2 HT 0-2 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
5-2
AWAY Balzan FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara ran out comfortable winners over Balzan FC 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Birkirkara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birkirkara had 47% of the ball to Balzan FC's 53%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Birkirkara and 1.50 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Balzan FC?

Birkirkara 5-2 Balzan FC in the MALTP on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 40%, draw 34%, Balzan FC 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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