Kariobangi Sharks 1-4 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 6 Jan 2026

📅06/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.44
No
71%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
24%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.8pp
29%
BTTS Yes
37%
-7.9pp
71%
BTTS No
63%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
0.65/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.61
-23% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gor Mahia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.03.2025 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-3 HT 1-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
22.12.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
27.10.2021 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-2 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1-4
AWAY Gor Mahia
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia swept aside Kariobangi Sharks 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 44% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 56%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 2.00 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-4 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 18%, draw 32%, Gor Mahia 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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