El Gounah 1-3 Petrojet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 6 Jan 2026

📅06/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.11
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
51%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
5.47
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.77 — our 51% vs market 47.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
33%
-5.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrojet EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Petrojet
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
196 Passes 283
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.09.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
26.12.2024 Petrojet Petrojet 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
1-3
AWAY Petrojet
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Petrojet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrojet got the better of El Gounah 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Petrojet made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Gounah had 50% of the ball to Petrojet's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Petrojet led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Gounah and 1.00 for Petrojet.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Petrojet?

El Gounah 1-3 Petrojet in the Egypt - League Cup on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Petrojet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Petrojet win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 35%, draw 27%, Petrojet 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrojet) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrojet) ✗ Under 2.5
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