Vizela U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Jan 2026

📅06/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.80/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.71
-51% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 3-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
09.09.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
03.12.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-2 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
09.10.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-2 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
0-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 squeezed past Vizela U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 54% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 46%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Vizela U23 and 1.75 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Vizela U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 45%, draw 28%, Rio Ave U23 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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