Estoril U23 3-2 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 6 Jan 2026

📅06/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.24/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.58
-24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
30.09.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-3 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
11.03.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
10.01.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
26.11.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 3-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
27.08.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
3-2
AWAY Estrela U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 nicked a narrow win over Estrela U23 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 46% of the ball to Estrela U23's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estoril U23 and 2.33 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Estoril U23 3-2 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 41%, draw 26%, Estrela U23 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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