Estrela U23 1-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.68/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.40
-55% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-3 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
11.03.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
10.01.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
26.11.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 3-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
27.08.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
05.03.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
1-1
AWAY Estoril U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 and Estoril U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 44% of the ball to Estoril U23's 56%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.67 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23?

Estrela U23 1-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 35%, draw 30%, Estoril U23 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ BTTS Yes
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