Uganda Police vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Kampala City
UGA
3-1
HT 2-1
Uganda Police
UGA
Uganda Police 2-0 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police got the better of Kampala City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) promised a tight game; Uganda Police found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Uganda Police had 52% of the ball to Kampala City's 48%, shots finished 8-8.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kampala City led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Uganda Police and 1.50 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Kampala City?
Uganda Police 2-0 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 32%, draw 33%, Kampala City 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kampala City) went the other way.